Fabril Barreiro vs Serpa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
45.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
10º
6º
33
4º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 41 |
5º
|
77% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
59.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 37 |
7º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
47% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ALE
2 - 1
FAB
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
IDE
3 - 2
FAB
57%
22%
21%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
FAB
1 - 2
ESA
9%
19%
72%
|
28 | 53 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
FAB
2 - 0
GDF
26%
22%
52%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
1 - 2
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Serpa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
RAB
55%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SER
3 - 0
FCC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
SER
2 - 2
FCB
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
UNI
1 - 5
SER
33%
23%
45%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
JUV
30%
23%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -2 |