Fabril Barreiro vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
18.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ATL
4 - 1
FAB
66%
18%
16%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
FAB
3 - 2
BEL
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 1
FAB
53%
21%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
2 - 5
FCP
12%
18%
71%
|
60 | 86 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 3
FCP
20%
22%
58%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
SPC
1 - 1
ORI
65%
18%
16%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
1 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
SLB
3 - 0
ORI
80%
12%
9%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |