Fabril Barreiro vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
LOU
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
PIN
2 - 1
FAB
53%
25%
22%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
SIN
2 - 0
FAB
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 3
COV
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 0
FAB
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
LUS
5 - 1
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 1
LUS
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
3 - 1
FCC
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 1
LOU
30%
27%
42%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +3 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
LUS
40%
26%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |