Fabril Barreiro vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VIT
1 - 3
FAB
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
FAB
3 - 0
SEI
80%
13%
7%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
VST
2 - 1
FAB
53%
24%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
FAB
2 - 1
VAR
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
FCP
2 - 0
FAB
74%
16%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
2 - 1
LEX
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
SCP
2 - 0
LGC
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
LGC
6 - 0
TOR
63%
20%
16%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 2
VIT
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 1965 |
SEI
0 - 2
LGC
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |