Fabril Barreiro vs Lourinhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 3
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
FAB
0 - 0
PER
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
REA
1 - 3
FAB
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAB
1 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
6%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FAB
2 - 1
ELE
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lourinhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 1
AMO
27%
24%
48%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PEN
1 - 1
LOU
26%
24%
50%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 0
FCB
16%
22%
63%
|
35 | 65 | 30 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 3
LOU
17%
22%
62%
|
35 | 17 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
SAC
1 - 1
LOU
65%
20%
15%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +1 |