Fabril Barreiro vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.5%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
0.9%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
82.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
15.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
14.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
17.9%
0-4
8.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 0
FAB
78%
16%
7%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FAB
2 - 2
OLI
40%
23%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
FAB
0 - 2
ORI
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
PRA
0 - 0
FAB
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 2
FAB
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
FCP
3 - 1
POR
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
FCP
3 - 0
MAR
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2020 |
PAÇ
3 - 2
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
2 - 0
OLP
57%
23%
21%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FCP
1 - 0
GFC
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |