Fabril Barreiro vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21%
31.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2017 |
SIN
3 - 2
FAB
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
FAB
4 - 1
VIA
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 2
ARM
43%
22%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ORI
5 - 0
FAB
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ALJ
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
EDL
1 - 1
LOU
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
QUA
4 - 0
EDL
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
EDL
0 - 2
MOU
23%
24%
53%
|
26 | 45 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ALM
3 - 3
EDL
36%
24%
40%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
LOU
3 - 1
EDL
58%
22%
19%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |