Fabril Barreiro vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
VIT
5 - 0
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
TOR
1 - 2
FAB
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
69%
17%
14%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
FAB
3 - 2
VST
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
0 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
LGC
3 - 1
CAL
75%
15%
10%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
4 - 1
VST
39%
24%
37%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
FCP
10 - 0
CAL
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
CAL
2 - 2
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |