Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
UFT
1 - 1
FAB
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 3
FCP
30%
27%
43%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
VST
0 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
7%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 2
VIT
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
EST
1 - 0
FAB
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |