Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
OLH
1 - 2
FAB
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
1 - 3
BEL
44%
28%
29%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
SCP
1 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FAB
3 - 0
ORI
74%
17%
9%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
59%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
2 - 1
ESP
62%
21%
17%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1974 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1974 |
ACA
0 - 1
LEX
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1974 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1974 |
ACA
3 - 1
UFT
73%
18%
9%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |