Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
48%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
SAN
2 - 0
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
FAB
1 - 2
SPB
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
TIR
0 - 0
FAB
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
FAB
1 - 1
LEX
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
FAB
56%
25%
20%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
4 - 1
TIR
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1968 |
BEL
3 - 2
ACA
28%
26%
47%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1967 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
62%
21%
18%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |