Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 3
FCP
34%
24%
42%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
FCP
6 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1964 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAB
50%
21%
29%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
5 - 2
VAR
70%
15%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
FCB
0 - 1
FAB
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 3
LEX
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1964 |
FAB
6 - 2
ACA
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1964 |
ACA
3 - 0
LGC
73%
17%
11%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1964 |
ACA
0 - 3
VIT
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |