Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
VIT
3 - 1
FAB
76%
14%
10%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
ATL
2 - 2
FAB
68%
18%
15%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 2
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
SLB
2 - 1
FAB
82%
12%
7%
|
60 | 88 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 0
BOA
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1959 |
SPC
4 - 0
ACA
55%
21%
23%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
24%
23%
53%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1959 |
BOA
1 - 3
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1959 |
ACA
1 - 1
LGC
61%
20%
20%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |