Fabril Barreiro vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1949 |
SPC
4 - 1
FAB
66%
17%
17%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEL
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1945 |
FAB
0 - 4
OLH
49%
21%
30%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1945 |
OLH
3 - 2
FAB
72%
15%
13%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1943 |
FAB
0 - 2
FCP
34%
20%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1954 |
ACA
2 - 1
BOA
58%
19%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 1
ACA
63%
18%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1954 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
83%
11%
6%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 3
SPC
53%
22%
26%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
19%
20%
61%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | -1 |