Fabriano Cerreto vs Sangiustese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
66.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 0
FAB
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 2
MON
18%
20%
62%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
PIN
12%
17%
72%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
3 - 1
FAB
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 2
JES
30%
22%
47%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sangiustese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
SAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
USN
1 - 3
SAN
11%
17%
73%
|
29 | 14 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 0
SAN
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASD
0 - 0
SAN
54%
21%
26%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |