Fabriano Cerreto vs SN Notaresco 2018 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
69.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAB
83%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 4
VIS
11%
18%
71%
|
16 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
MON
0 - 1
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 4
ASD
13%
18%
70%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
JES
0 - 0
FAB
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
USN
3 - 3
SAN
7%
14%
80%
|
31 | 9 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAN
58%
20%
22%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
5 - 1
SAN
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
MON
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
REC
0 - 1
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |