Fabriano Cerreto vs San Marino Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
60.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
3 - 1
REC
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
FAB
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
FAB
0 - 3
CAM
20%
21%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
OLY
1 - 0
FAB
76%
15%
10%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SAN
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 1
JES
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIS
0 - 2
SAN
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SAN
3 - 3
PIN
34%
22%
44%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |