Fabriano Cerreto vs Jesina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MAT
1 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
19 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 0
FAB
85%
11%
5%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 3
SAN
18%
21%
61%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LAQ
4 - 0
FAB
84%
12%
5%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAB
3 - 1
REC
31%
24%
45%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Jesina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
JES
1 - 1
MON
30%
24%
47%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
JES
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
JES
2 - 3
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIS
2 - 1
JES
76%
16%
8%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
PIN
2 - 1
JES
64%
20%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |