Fabriano Cerreto vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabriano Cerreto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAM
2 - 0
FAB
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
FAB
2 - 0
OLY
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +4 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 3
FAB
88%
9%
4%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
REC
2 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
OLY
19%
24%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAS
67%
18%
15%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
USN
78%
15%
7%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
54%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ALF
0 - 1
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |