Fabrègues vs Trelissac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
67.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 2
CAN
10%
20%
70%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
FAB
2 - 2
SQV
72%
16%
11%
|
24 | 8 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
FAB
2 - 2
BAL
29%
25%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAR
1 - 3
FAB
69%
18%
13%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
FAB
0 - 1
BEA
29%
23%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Trelissac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STP
2 - 2
TRE
38%
27%
35%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 2
TRE
12%
21%
67%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
ETM
2 - 2
TRE
13%
18%
69%
|
47 | 8 | 39 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
SAU
0 - 1
TRE
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
ANG
39%
29%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |