Fabrègues vs Tarbes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 0
FAB
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
FAB
2 - 1
AGD
66%
20%
14%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
TOU
1 - 1
FAB
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
FAB
1 - 1
MUR
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
MON
0 - 0
FAB
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tarbes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AGD
1 - 1
TAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 0
MUR
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ROD
0 - 0
TAR
45%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
TAR
1 - 0
BLA
47%
24%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AVE
3 - 0
TAR
37%
22%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |