Fabrègues vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 0
FAB
71%
17%
12%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
FAB
58%
23%
20%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 1
ROD
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
FCA
3 - 0
FAB
56%
21%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
FAB
2 - 1
NIM
40%
24%
36%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
NAR
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NAR
3 - 0
MUR
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 0
FCA
36%
23%
42%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NIM
1 - 2
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 4
TOU
33%
23%
44%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |