Fabrègues vs Narbonne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
12.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
FAB
21%
21%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FAB
1 - 1
ROD
9%
17%
73%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
FAB
0 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROD
1 - 0
FAB
41%
22%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
FCV
0 - 4
FAB
8%
14%
79%
|
35 | 8 | 27 | +1 |
Matches
Narbonne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 2
TOU
32%
22%
46%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 1
NAR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
LUZ
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NIM
2 - 0
NAR
65%
19%
17%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
CAS
0 - 0
NAR
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |