Fabrègues vs Castanet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BLA
3 - 0
FAB
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
FAB
0 - 1
OLY
19%
23%
59%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
FAB
69%
17%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
FAB
1 - 0
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BEA
0 - 0
FAB
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
FCA
49%
22%
29%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 0
MUR
55%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +3 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 2
CAS
54%
21%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 3
BEA
31%
23%
46%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
CAS
57%
21%
22%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |