Fabrègues vs Balma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
2 - 4
BAY
39%
25%
36%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
BER
4 - 2
FAB
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FAB
0 - 1
LEG
31%
23%
46%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ROD
0 - 1
FAB
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +3 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
FAB
1 - 2
TOU
31%
24%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
BER
38%
27%
36%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LES
1 - 0
BAL
52%
25%
24%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
LEG
1 - 1
BAL
55%
25%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 1
ROD
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 0
BAL
56%
24%
20%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |