Fabrègues vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fabrègues
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 3
FAB
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FAB
0 - 2
LES
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 0
FAB
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAY
1 - 2
FAB
50%
23%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
FAB
2 - 1
BER
33%
24%
44%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
BER
32%
26%
41%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LEG
1 - 0
AUR
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AUR
1 - 1
ROD
61%
22%
17%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
TOU
0 - 0
AUR
52%
26%
22%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AUR
0 - 1
ANG
46%
23%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |