Tartu Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
16.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 2
FAT
9%
16%
75%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 4
TAM
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
TJK
1 - 2
FAT
21%
21%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FAT
7 - 3
LAH
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
FAT
37%
22%
40%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nõmme Kalju II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 1
TJK
63%
19%
18%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
KUR
5 - 1
NOM
61%
19%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
6 - 2
JFP
67%
18%
16%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
TUL
5 - 2
NOM
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
NOM
1 - 3
FAT
37%
22%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |