Tartu Kalev vs Kuressaare II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
42%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
LAH
2 - 3
FAT
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
JKN
2 - 0
FAT
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
FAT
5 - 2
TJK
32%
23%
45%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +3 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 0
FAT
68%
18%
15%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 1
TAM
37%
24%
40%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Kuressaare II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
5 - 4
TJK
54%
21%
25%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WEL
2 - 2
KUR
61%
20%
19%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KUR
0 - 1
TUL
51%
23%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
TKA
3 - 3
KUR
58%
20%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
KUR
2 - 0
JKN
50%
22%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |