Tartu Kalev vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
6.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
TAM
7 - 1
FAT
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 0
TJK
58%
21%
22%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
FAT
3 - 0
TUL
73%
16%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
LAH
2 - 0
FAT
25%
21%
54%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
KUR
1 - 0
FAT
42%
23%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 4
KUR
13%
17%
70%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
JKN
2 - 0
FCP
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
TAM
3 - 0
FCP
81%
13%
6%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 3
KUR
15%
19%
66%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 0
TUL
37%
22%
41%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |