Tartu Kalev vs Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.4%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
JFP
2 - 4
FAT
28%
23%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FAT
1 - 2
KUR
50%
22%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
JKN
37%
24%
39%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
0 - 7
TKA
29%
22%
49%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCE
42%
23%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Pärnu Jalgpalliklubi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 3
JKN
7%
15%
78%
|
24 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FCP
2 - 5
NOM
12%
15%
74%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
LAH
3 - 0
FCP
79%
12%
9%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
FCP
1 - 4
MAA
4%
9%
88%
|
27 | 66 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
TUL
1 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |