Tartu Kalev vs Jager analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.6%
5.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
TAB
9 - 1
FAT
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2022 |
FAT
5 - 0
LAH
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
FAT
4 - 1
TJK
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 0
FCP
82%
12%
6%
|
44 | 5 | 39 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2022 |
FAT
2 - 2
TKA
42%
24%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Jager
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2022 |
FCJ
1 - 6
FCT
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |