Esiliiga Playoffs Promotion Final
Global 1-2
Tartu Kalev vs FC Elva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tartu Kalev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
LAH
2 - 3
FAT
16%
19%
66%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
WEL
3 - 1
FAT
60%
21%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
FAT
0 - 1
NOM
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FAT
2 - 1
FCP
87%
9%
3%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JKN
4 - 1
FAT
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Elva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 7
NOM
8%
15%
77%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 4
FCE
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2023 |
JKJ
2 - 0
FCE
14%
20%
67%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
3 - 0
TAB
29%
23%
48%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCE
1 - 4
FLO
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |