FA 2000 vs SfB-Oure analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
12º
2º
27
6º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
FA2
0 - 6
MID
6%
15%
79%
|
48 | 82 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 2
FA2
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FA2
1 - 2
IFL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OFA
0 - 2
FA2
23%
24%
54%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FA2
2 - 1
NAS
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
SfB-Oure
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
OFA
1 - 1
SIK
17%
21%
61%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ABT
2 - 3
OFA
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
OFA
0 - 2
FA2
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
3 - 1
OFA
46%
22%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
OFA
1 - 4
MID
14%
20%
66%
|
35 | 53 | 18 | 0 |