FA 2000 vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
6º
12º
11º
41
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FA 2000
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MID
2 - 1
FA2
66%
20%
14%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
FA2
1 - 0
SKI
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ESB
3 - 1
FA2
77%
16%
8%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
FA2
0 - 3
BFR
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
THI
1 - 0
FA2
35%
25%
39%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
AAF
3 - 2
HEL
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 2
MID
50%
24%
26%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BFR
1 - 1
AAF
20%
22%
58%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
2 - 4
ESB
40%
25%
35%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AAF
1 - 1
AKA
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |