Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
F91 Dudelange vs Ararat-Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.3%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
15.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
F91 Dudelange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
PRO
2 - 0
F91
20%
22%
58%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 1
F91
43%
21%
36%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
F91
1 - 3
JEU
77%
15%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
KAL
0 - 1
F91
39%
23%
38%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
F91
3 - 1
KAL
53%
22%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
FCY
1 - 2
AVA
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 1
F91
43%
21%
36%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
NOA
1 - 2
AVA
26%
28%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
SAB
0 - 2
AVA
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
3 - 1
GAN
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |