Extreme vs MAFCO analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
63.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extreme
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
BUL
3 - 0
EFC
89%
8%
3%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
EFC
1 - 1
CIV
14%
21%
65%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
EFC
2 - 1
RED
11%
18%
71%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
EFC
0 - 1
DDY
9%
15%
77%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
0 - 0
EFC
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
MAFCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 1
KAM
45%
26%
29%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 0
BUL
47%
26%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAF
18%
21%
61%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
MAF
1 - 0
RED
53%
23%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
KAM
1 - 2
MAF
41%
27%
32%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |