Extremadura vs Santa Amalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 3
EXT
15%
24%
61%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
DBN
2 - 1
EXT
28%
27%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EXT
0 - 2
ARR
54%
22%
23%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
JER
1 - 1
EXT
29%
28%
44%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
EXT
8 - 0
MIA
77%
16%
8%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Santa Amalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 2
DBN
47%
25%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 0
SAM
74%
16%
10%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
0 - 2
JER
43%
26%
31%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIA
2 - 3
SAM
32%
27%
41%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAM
4 - 1
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |