Extremadura vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
48.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ELC
2 - 0
EXT
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
1 - 1
MAJ
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 3
SPO
17%
27%
56%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GRA
0 - 0
EXT
72%
19%
10%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
EXT
0 - 2
OVI
26%
27%
48%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
1 - 1
OSA
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ALM
1 - 0
NUM
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 0
LUG
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ELC
1 - 1
NUM
34%
28%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
NUM
3 - 2
CCF
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |