Extremadura B vs Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extremadura B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
2 - 4
EXT
37%
26%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
EXT
0 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
TRU
1 - 2
EXT
44%
25%
31%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
ARR
2 - 1
EXT
37%
28%
36%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
EXT
1 - 1
MIA
52%
25%
23%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
BAD
49%
24%
27%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MIA
1 - 2
VIL
58%
22%
20%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 1
OLI
37%
25%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 2
MOR
14%
22%
65%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
TRU
36%
25%
39%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |