Extension Gunners vs Prisons XI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
5º
16º
15º
23
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
20 | 20 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Extension Gunners
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EAN
1 - 0
EXT
76%
15%
10%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EXT
1 - 2
SES
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
EXT
1 - 2
HGH
50%
21%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
SUA
3 - 1
EXT
73%
16%
11%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SES
3 - 0
EXT
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Prisons XI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 0
MOW
25%
22%
53%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
GAL
2 - 0
PRI
79%
13%
8%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
NIC
19%
20%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 2
MAS
20%
20%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PRI
0 - 7
GAL
15%
17%
68%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |