Express SC vs Uganda Revenue Authority analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 1
EXP
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 0
KYE
58%
20%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
EXP
41%
26%
33%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
JIN
53%
25%
22%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
KIT
0 - 1
EXP
37%
25%
38%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda Revenue Authority
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
OND
0 - 3
URA
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
URA
2 - 1
VIP
42%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 2
URA
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
URA
2 - 0
KYE
54%
24%
22%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
UPD
0 - 1
URA
47%
26%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |