Express SC vs Uganda Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2021 |
URA
0 - 0
EXP
41%
26%
33%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 1
URA
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 0
OND
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2021 |
VIP
0 - 1
EXP
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
2 - 1
EXP
43%
27%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 0
UGA
36%
26%
39%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
UGA
4 - 1
BRI
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
WAK
3 - 1
UGA
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
6 - 1
MYD
64%
19%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
UGA
4 - 1
KIT
72%
15%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |