Express SC vs UPDF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
28.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
EXP
2 - 1
BUL
38%
27%
35%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
VIP
3 - 0
EXP
55%
25%
20%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
EXP
0 - 2
OND
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
WAK
1 - 2
EXP
61%
22%
18%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SCV
1 - 2
EXP
40%
29%
31%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
UPDF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MCF
1 - 2
UPD
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 1
URA
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
1 - 0
SOA
69%
18%
13%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2022 |
JIN
0 - 2
UPD
38%
23%
40%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
UPD
0 - 3
KCC
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |