Express SC vs Rwenzori Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EXP
3 - 4
KCC
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
MCF
3 - 1
EXP
34%
28%
38%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
EXP
3 - 0
GAD
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2024 |
AHS
0 - 1
EXP
38%
23%
39%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
EXP
2 - 0
VIP
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |