Express SC vs Mbarara City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Express SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
OND
1 - 1
EXP
30%
26%
44%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
EXP
1 - 0
WAK
45%
26%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
EXP
0 - 0
SCV
55%
25%
20%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
EXP
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
EXP
2 - 2
VIP
40%
27%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mbarara City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 0
SCV
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
UGA
0 - 0
MCF
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
MCF
1 - 2
VIP
40%
27%
34%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UPD
1 - 0
MCF
41%
27%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 0
MCF
48%
26%
27%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |