Tigres FC vs Leones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
14º
13º
11
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 32 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 32 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 29 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
5º
|
21 | 28 |
4º
|
28% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 28 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 23 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
11 | 21 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 20 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 19 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 19 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
12 | 16 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 15 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 14 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
4% | 42.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
96% | 57.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
ORS
1 - 0
TFC
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 0
REA
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
QUI
3 - 1
TFC
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TFC
1 - 1
BAR
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
HUI
4 - 0
TFC
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Leones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 2
LEO
11%
18%
71%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 0
REA
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
LEO
2 - 2
QUI
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
RSC
4 - 2
LEO
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
LEO
1 - 3
UNI
34%
28%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |