Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 1-3
Tigres FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
62%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
BOG
2 - 1
TFC
55%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
HUI
0 - 0
TFC
37%
30%
33%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
BAR
54%
27%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
TFC
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
TFC
69%
20%
11%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
JAG
3 - 0
IND
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
OCT
3 - 2
IND
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 0
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
IND
0 - 1
SCI
28%
29%
44%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 3
IND
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |