Tigres FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
46%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.2%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
LLA
31%
32%
37%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2013 |
PER
3 - 1
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TFC
1 - 0
RSC
29%
29%
42%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
TFC
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
TFC
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BOG
1 - 0
FOR
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 4
RIO
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
AME
1 - 2
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 2
FOR
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |