Tigres FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
43.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
4 - 0
REA
28%
26%
45%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SFC
2 - 1
TFC
66%
22%
12%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 0
UNI
26%
28%
46%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
71%
19%
10%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
TFC
0 - 1
PER
19%
27%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BUC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 3
ALI
55%
23%
22%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
FOR
50%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |