Tigres FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tigres FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
AFC
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
REA
1 - 0
TFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TFC
0 - 0
CEN
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 1
TFC
70%
19%
11%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
BAR
0 - 2
TFC
37%
29%
34%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOG
33%
28%
40%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2011 |
PAC
2 - 0
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
2 - 1
ALI
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
FOR
3 - 0
HUI
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +3 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
RSC
1 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |